Introductiontoarchivestatistics
Researchscope:①Thesetting,contentandfunctionofarchivestatisticsindexsystem,includingstatisticsindex,indexmeaning,indexunitandtherelationshipamongtheindexes,etc.;②Archivesstatisticalinvestigationplanandorganizationform;③Theprincipleandmethodofarchivesstatisticaldatacollation;④Thetheory,methodandcalculationformulaofarchivesstatisticalanalysis,includingtotalindex,relativeindex,averageindex,signvariationindex,timeseries,index,Balancemethod,samplingmethod,correlationanalysis,statisticalforecasting,etc.;⑤Provideandusemethodsandfunctionsofstatisticalresults;⑥Therelationshipbetweenthisdisciplineandotherbranchesofstatisticsandarchives;⑦Archivesstatisticalstandardization,includingarchivesstatisticalworksystemandTheestablishmentofthenetwork,theunificationofthestatisticalreportformat,measurementunitandstatisticaltime,andtheconsistencywiththeinternationalstandardizationofarchivestatistics.
Theoriginofarchivalstatistics
Inmoderntimes,inordertostrengthenarchivalmanagement,allcountrieshavegenerallyattachedimportancetoarchivalstatisticswork.Theestablishmentlaidthefoundation.TheSovietUnionbegantoconstructarchivalstatisticsasasub-disciplineinthe1970sandsetupspecialcourses.The"TheoryandPracticeofSovietArchivesWork"publishedin1980describedarchivestatisticsasasub-discipline.InChina,"ArchivesManagement"editedbyChenZhaohuin1962,and"ArchivesManagement"editedbyDengShaoxingandHeBaorongin1989alldescribedarchivestatisticstheoretically.Beginningin1983,theNationalArchivesBureauissuedthe"StatisticalAnnualReportontheBasicSituationofArchivesWork"andbegantoestablishaunifiednationwidestatisticalreportsystemandarchiveindexsystem.Beforeandafterthis,somerelatedpaperswerepublished,suchasChenBolin's"ADiscussiononStatisticsinArchivesWork"(1983),FengBoqun's"SeveralQuestionsaboutArchivesStatisticsWork"(1983),andWenquan's"APreliminaryStudyofArchivesStatisticsWork"(1986),QianWanli's"APreliminaryStudyoftheApplicationofSystemAnalysisMethodinArchivesIdentification"(1986),AnRuixianandZhaoJuhua's"AQuantitativeAnalysisoftheEconomicBenefitsofScientificandTechnologicalArchives"(1987),WangGuirong's"ArchiveStatisticalIndicatorsandIndexSystem""(1991),etc.,haveenrichedandenrichedthesubjectcontentofarchivalstatistics.The"IntroductiontoArchivesScience"editedbyRenZunshengin1989andFengZizhi's"SeveralQuestionsaboutArchivalScienceResearch"in1990bothlistedarchivalstatisticsasabranchofarchives.Thesubjectisunderconstruction.
Applicationoffilestatistics
First,theunderstandingofsystemicityandsystemcomplexityaddsnewideastothefuturedevelopmentofstatistics.Duetotherapiddevelopmentofthebreadthanddepthofsocialpractice,aswellastheadvanceddevelopmentofscienceandtechnology,peoplehaveamorecomprehensiveandin-depthunderstandingofthesystemicityandsystemiccomplexityoftheobjectiveworld.Withtheriseofthetrendofscientificintegration,theresearchtentaclesofstatisticshavebeenextendedtonewfields,andtheresearchofexploratorydatastatisticalmethodshasemerged.Thefieldofresearchhasexpandedtocomplexobjectivephenomena.Thefocusofstatisticalresearchinthe21stcenturywillshiftfromdeterministicandrandomphenomenatothestudyofcomplexphenomena.Newfieldssuchasblur,suddenchangeandchaos.Itcanbesaidthatthestudyofcomplexphenomenahasopenedupnewresearchfieldsforstatistics.Second,thecomprehensiveintegrationmethodcombiningqualitativeandquantitativewillprovidenewideasforthedevelopmentofstatisticalanalysismethods.ThecomprehensiveintegrationmethodcombiningqualitativeandquantitativeisproposedbyProfessorQianXuesenin1990.Theessenceofthismethodistocombinescientifictheories,empiricalknowledgeandexpertjudgments,putforwardempiricalhypotheses,andthenuseempiricaldata,materialsandmodelstotestitsauthenticity.Afterquantitativecalculationsandrepeatedcomparisons,aconclusionisfinallyformed..Itisaneffectivemethodforstudyingcomplexsystems,andstatisticalthinkingispermeatedeverywhereintheresearchprocessofproblems,whichprovidesanewwayofthinkingforthedevelopmentofstatisticalanalysismethods.Third,thepenetrationofstatisticalscienceandotherscienceswillopenupnewareasfortheapplicationofstatistics.Thedevelopmentofmodernsciencehasemergedasatrendtowardintegration,andvariousdisciplinescontinuetomerge,forminganinterconnectedandunifiedwhole.Becauseoftheinterrelationshipbetweenthings,thepenetrationandtransferofresearchmethodsamongvariousdisciplineshasbecomeamajortrendinthedevelopmentofmodernscience.Thenewprogressmadeinmanydisciplinesprovidesbrandnewdevelopmentopportunitiesforthedevelopmentofotherdisciplines.Theemergenceoffuzzytheory,catastrophetheoryandothernewmarginalsubjectsprovidesnewscientificmethodsandideasforthefurtherdevelopmentofstatistics.Introducingsomecutting-edgescientificachievementsintostatistics,sothattheinteractivedevelopmentofstatisticsanditwillbecomethetrendofstatisticsdevelopmentinthefuture.Statisticswillalsohaveanexcitingprospect.Today,somepioneershavebeguntointroducemethodsandtheoriessuchascybernetics,informationtheory,systemtheory,graphtheory,chaostheory,andfuzzytheoryintostatistics.Thepenetrationofthesenewtheoriesandmethodswillsurelybringaboutprofounddevelopmentofstatistics.Impact.Statisticsoriginatesfromapplicationanddevelopsandgrowsintheprocessofapplication.Withthedevelopmentofeconomyandsociety,thedevelopmentofthetrendofmutualintegrationofvariousdisciplinesandtherapiddevelopmentofcomputertechnology,theapplicationfieldsofstatistics,statisticaltheoryandanalysismethodswillalsocontinuetodevelop,showingitsvitalityandimportantroleinallfields.